LANSING, Mich. (WLNS) — Probability of precipitation (PoPs) is one of the most common elements of a forecast you see on websites and weather apps, including our own StormTracker6 weather app and WLNS ...

Life is uncertain. None of us know what is going to happen. We know little of what has happened in the past or is happening now outside our immediate experience. Uncertainty has been called the ...

Torsten Sløk, Apollo's chief economist, says a US recession in 2025 is unlikely. The economy grew faster than expected in 2024, driven by strong consumer spending. Key risks for 2025 include tariffs, ...

As a person with a chronic illness, I'm no stranger to bloodwork. I used to pore over my lab results, googling the various meanings, and trying not to panic when a test fell out of range. Function ...

To watch baseball or any other sport is to confront the fundamental unpredictability of the universe, its utter refusal to bend to your wishes, no matter how fervent. In recent years, some ...

The mathematician Daniel Litt has driven social media users to distraction with a series of simple-seeming but counterintuitive probability puzzles. In late January, Daniel Litt posed an innocent ...

In this blog post for the Applied Category Theory Adjoint School 2024, we discuss some of the limitations that the measure-theoretic probability framework has in handling uncertainty and present some ...

BUFFALO, N.Y. (WIVB) — In a typical forecast, you often hear or see the words “probability of precipitation.” This value is given as a percentage. Although this value is frequently seen and used, ...

Your working memory, cognitive flexibility, and self-regulation are core components of executive function (EF), an interrelated set of mental skills that lay the foundation for advanced cognitive ...

ABSTRACT: This paper presents a game theory-based method for predicting the outcomes of negotiation and group decision-making problems. We propose an extension to the BDM model to address problems ...